🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many deaths from terrorism in 2020?

Resolved :22.8k20.4k
Community Prediction14.6k19.9k25.3kJan 02Jan 06Jan 10Jan 14Jan 18Jan 22Jan 26Jan 30Feb 03Feb 07Feb 11Feb 15Feb 19Feb 23Feb 27now
Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction20.4k (17.4k - 23.5k)

Make a Prediction

02.5k5k7.5k10k12.5k15k17.5k20k22.5k25k27.5k30k32.5k35k37.5k40k42.5k45k47.5k50k
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50k
...
...
...
...
17.44k
20.4k
23.51k
0.4%

What was the final result?22.8k

Community Baseline Score
62.0
Community Peer Score
1.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:Sep 30, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2022
Resolves:Jul 7, 2022

Comments

? comments

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy