🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the best proven upper bound on the infimum of S in 2120? [old, see new version in comments]

Resolved :Ambiguous0.5
Total Forecasters3
Community Prediction...

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<0.5
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1
...
...
...
...
...
58.9%
<0.5
<0.5
0.9172
22.8%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Learn more about scores here.
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

? comments