Question

How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022?

Resolved :9

11 comments11

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction10.2

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

9.08

10.2

11.4

What was the final result?9

Community Baseline Score

-9.0

Community Peer Score

31.1

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant

An Advancing Islamic State in Nigeria?

Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?

Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant

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Associated Press•Oct 13, 2024

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