Question

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

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Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

median 80.0%mean 82.1%

Authors:

christian

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Food and Drug Administration

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

60%

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%

Allogeneic cell therapy FDA approved by 2035? → Will cancer mortality ↓ by 50% by 2051?

Comments

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Authors:

christian

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Food and Drug Administration

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2031?

60%

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

54%