Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will May Day protests turn violent?

Resolved :Yes70%
3
15
Total Forecasters92
Community Prediction70% (54% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
33.9
Community Peer Score
29.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
max.wainwright
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2018 Leaderboard
May Day
International Workers' Day
Haymarket affair
United States

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