MetaculusM

Question

Will more than half of the remaining forecasts in the Trade Signal tournament that correspond to trades be on the correct side of the consensus?

Resolved :No10%

4

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction10% (1% - 49%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-10.3

Community Peer Score

-0.9

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 19, 2021

Closes:

Oct 27, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 27, 2021

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Sep 19, 2021

Closes:

Oct 27, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 27, 2021

2021 Leaderboard

S&P 500’s 2024 Rally Shocked Forecasters Expecting It to Fizzle

Bloomberg•Jan 28, 2025

Is The Surge In Bullish Sentiment Positive For Stocks?

Forbes•Jan 30, 2025

Most investors think that President-elect Trump will boost markets and the economy, a CNBC survey found

CNBC•Jan 30, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch