Question

Will more than half of the remaining trades in the Trade Signal tournament make money?

Resolved:No
4
16
Community Prediction25%35%45%55%Sep 20Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Oct 02Oct 04Oct 06Oct 08Oct 10Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26now
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction
40%
(31% - 44%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
6.8
Community Peer Score
-1.0
Authors:
TomL
Opened:Sep 19, 2021
Closes:Oct 27, 2021
Resolves:Oct 28, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 21, 2021
Metaculus
2021 Leaderboard

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