🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many hours a week will coders report using GPT-X Codex type tools in Robin Hanson's 2026 Twitter poll?

16
11
Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction4.23 (1.45 - 10.6)

Make a Prediction

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
<0.01
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
...
0.7%
1.455
4.233
10.62
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Progress Essay Contest
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Robin Hanson
Twitter

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