Question
How many hours a week will coders report using GPT-X Codex type tools in Robin Hanson's 2026 Twitter poll?
Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction4.23 (1.45 - 10.6)
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CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.01 | 0.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 1.455 | — |
| median | 4.233 | — |
| upper 75% | 10.62 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Sep 24, 2021
Closed:Mar 14, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2026
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 24, 2021
Closed:Mar 14, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2026
