Question

Will Iran recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction70% (55% - 81%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Sep 25, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Verity

Geopolitics

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

Iran

Taliban

US officials see fall of Assad as opportunity to force Iranian regime change

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

Afghanistan’s Taliban makes debut diplomatic trip to Japan

Al Jazeera•Feb 18, 2025

Senior Afghan Taliban officials in Japan for talks with Japanese officials

Associated Press•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will Russia recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

67%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Sep 25, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Verity

Geopolitics

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

Iran

Taliban

US officials see fall of Assad as opportunity to force Iranian regime change

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

Afghanistan’s Taliban makes debut diplomatic trip to Japan

Al Jazeera•Feb 18, 2025

Senior Afghan Taliban officials in Japan for talks with Japanese officials

Associated Press•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Israel recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will Russia recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

67%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%