Question

Will Russia recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction67% (60% - 72%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 67%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Sep 29, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Geopolitics

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

Taliban

Russia

Opinion | It’s Time for the U.S. to Reach Out to the Taliban

New York Times•Feb 18, 2025

Afghanistan’s Taliban makes debut diplomatic trip to Japan

Al Jazeera•Feb 18, 2025

Senior Afghan Taliban officials in Japan for talks with Japanese officials

Associated Press•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Iran recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

70%

Will Israel recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

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