Question

When will the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness conjecture be proved false?

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction2081-03-31 (2034-02-04 - 2121-01-01)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2121-01-01
community	2034	2081	>2121	40.4%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	2034	—
median	2081	—
upper 75%	>2121	—
Upper bound
>2121-01-01	40.4%	—

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Oct 2, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2059

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2120

Computing and Math

Physics

Millennium Prize Problems

Clay Mathematics Institute

Fluid dynamics

Big Tech is starry-eyed over quantum computers, but scientists say major breakthroughs are years away

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

Microsoft’s and Google’s Quantum Computing Claims Add to Consumer Confusion

Scientific American•Mar 5, 2025

DOGE Check ‘Proposed Bill Will Be Coming In The Next Few Days?’

Forbes•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness conjecture be proved true?

2121-01-01

Ultraviolet Catastrophes and Turbulence

Will the existence and smoothness properties of the Navier-Stokes equations in three dimensions turn out to depend on the compactness of the universe over which they are defined?

49.2%

Comments

? comments