Question

Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction8%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 8%

median 8.0%mean 11.6%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In Africa, meager expectations and some hopes for a second Trump presidency

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

How Africa Is Bracing for Trump’s Second Term

Time•Nov 13, 2024

Somaliland goes to the polls amid Ethiopia-Somalia port deal row

Al Jazeera•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

97%

Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In Africa, meager expectations and some hopes for a second Trump presidency

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

How Africa Is Bracing for Trump’s Second Term

Time•Nov 13, 2024

Somaliland goes to the polls amid Ethiopia-Somalia port deal row

Al Jazeera•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

97%