Question

If Iran has a nuclear weapon in 2030, what will Israel's 2031 GNI per capita be?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters4

Community Prediction59.4 (46.5 - 73.6)

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>150

...

46.55

59.43

73.56

1.0%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 12, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Geopolitics

Politics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Natural Sciences

Iran

List of countries by GNI (nominal) per capita

Israel

Is Nuclear Proliferation Always a Bad Thing?

Red State•Jan 21, 2025

Trump has few good options to prevent Iran from building a nuclear bomb

The Conversation•Jan 21, 2025

Bank of Israel governor expects higher short-term inflation but rate cuts 'feasible' this year

CNBC•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Iran does not have a nuclear weapon in 2030, what will Israel's 2031 GNI per capita be?

56.5

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

75%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

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