Question

Will a member of President Trump's inner circle be sentenced to jail by 2023?

Resolved :Yes

24 comments24

Total Forecasters181

Community Prediction90%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

6.5

Community Peer Score

3.9

median 90.0%mean 84.0%

Authors:

AdamKosloff

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Michael Cohen (lawyer)

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

2029-10-05

Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024?

0.1%

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