Question

What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction5.58 (4.28 - 7.12)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20

...

4.284

5.583

7.123

2.6%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

George Floyd

United States

Federal Bureau of Investigation

What the data says about gun deaths in the U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Trump and Republicans silent on falling crime rates under Biden

MSNBC•Dec 21, 2024

Census Bureau releases its 2024 population estimates for the United States and all 50 states

Independent•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

George Floyd

United States

Federal Bureau of Investigation

What the data says about gun deaths in the U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Trump and Republicans silent on falling crime rates under Biden

MSNBC•Dec 21, 2024

Census Bureau releases its 2024 population estimates for the United States and all 50 states

Independent•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32

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What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

Make a Prediction

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

Comments

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?