Question

What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

20 comments20

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction

5.57 per 100,000

(4.27 - 7.09)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>20
community	4.274	5.569	7.088	2.6%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	4.274	—
median	5.569	—
upper 75%	7.088	—
Upper bound
>20	2.6%	—

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Nov 5, 2021

Closes:

Sep 27, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 7, 2021

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