Question

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

21 comments21

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction62% (52% - 69%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 62%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 12, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Geopolitics

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Iran

Bahrain–Israel relations

Morocco

Nuclear program of Iran

Saudi Arabia

Israel

United Arab Emirates

Israel Reportedly Planning To Launch ‘Significant Strikes’ Against Iran Nuclear Sites This Year

Daily Wire•Feb 13, 2025

Report: Israel Likely To Bomb Iran in the Coming Months

AntiWar•Feb 13, 2025

US intelligence agencies believe Israel is likely to strike Iranian nuclear facilities this year

CNN•Feb 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

59%

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2041?

75%

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

20%

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