Question

Will >100 offensive nuclear detonations occur by 2024, if there's at least 1 fatality from an offensive detonation by 2024?

Resolved :Annulled5%

23 comments23

Total Forecasters165

Community Prediction5% (1% - 11%)

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50%

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

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if there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2050, how many total detonations will there be by then?

If there is at least 1 offensive nuclear detonation by 2100, when will the first detonation occur?

2036-04-02

Will the total yield of nuclear weapons offensively detonated by 2050 exceed 50Mt, if any offensive detonation occurs?

21.9%

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