Question

Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2023?

Resolved :No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters110

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

66.3

Community Peer Score

6.6

median 1.0%mean 2.4%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

People's Liberation Army

China

Indian Armed Forces

India

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

16%

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Risk Tournament

Szilard Fortified Essay Contest

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

People's Liberation Army

China

Indian Armed Forces

India

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Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

16%