M

Question

Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates?

Resolved :No1%
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
66.7
Community Peer Score
6.2
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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