M

Question

Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023?

Resolved :No4%
Total Forecasters133
Community Prediction4% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.1
Community Peer Score
17.8
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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