M

Question

Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023?

Resolved :No
Total Forecasters133
Community Prediction4%

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community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.1
Community Peer Score
17.8
median 4.0%mean 7.0%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


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