Question

Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement?

Resolved :No0.1%

13 comments13

Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

74.7

Community Peer Score

9.5

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Oct 7, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

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United States

Russian Armed Forces

NATO

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Newsweek•Jan 26, 2025

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