Question
Question
Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement?
Resolved :NoTotal Forecasters191
Community Prediction0.1%
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Community Baseline Score
74.7
Community Peer Score
9.5
median 0.1%mean 1.1%
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Resolves:
Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?
10%
If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?
62%
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
8%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?
10%
If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?
62%
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
8%