Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will there be a new record for the best proven upper bound on the average rank of elliptic curves?

2
1
Total Forecasters9
Community Prediction2029-04-22 (2027-06-27 - 2031-10-09)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2035-01-01
...
...
...
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2027-06-27 17:56
2029-04-22 00:21
2031-10-09 15:53
6.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ege_erdil
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Cryptography
Number theory
Elliptic curve
Annals of Mathematics

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