Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will there be a new record for the best proven lower bound on the maximum possible rank of an elliptic curve?

2
0
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction2033-12-04 (2029-03-17 - 2043-10-19)

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weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2044-12-29
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2029-03-17 21:47
2033-12-04 06:02
2043-10-19 04:52
23.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ege_erdil
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Cryptography
Noam Elkies
Number theory
Elliptic curve

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