Question
How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023?
Resolved :100111Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction111 (68.9 - 171)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>3k
...
...
...
...
68.94
110.6
170.7
0.2%
What was the final result?100
Community Baseline Score
143.5
Community Peer Score
12.4
Authors:
Opened:Oct 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Feb 16, 2024
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Oct 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Feb 16, 2024
