M

Question

How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023?

Resolved :100
2
9
Total Forecasters75
Community Prediction111

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>3k
...
...
...
...
68.94
110.6
170.7
0.2%

What was the final result?100

Community Baseline Score
143.5
Community Peer Score
12.4
Authors:
TomL
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Nuclear Risk Tournament
Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Arms Control Association
China
India
Pakistan
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
Federation of American Scientists
Congressional Research Service
United States
Israel
Russia

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