M

Question

When will the UK Labour Party next maintain a 10-point polling lead for a month?

Resolved :Sep 6, 20222022-12-12
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2022-12-12 (2022-09-26 - 2023-04-29)

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My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-12-31
...
...
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2022-09-26 22:33
2022-12-12 13:36
2023-04-29 04:22
6.7%

What was the final result?Sep 6, 2022

Community Baseline Score
4.2
Community Peer Score
9.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025

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