Question
When will the UK Labour Party next maintain a 10-point polling lead for a month?
Resolved :Sep 6, 20222022-12-12Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction2022-12-12 (2022-09-26 - 2023-04-29)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 26 Sep 2022 | — |
| median | 12 Dec 2022 | — |
| upper 75% | 29 Apr 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2024-12-31 | 6.7% | — |
What was the final result?Sep 6, 2022
Community Baseline Score
4.2
Community Peer Score
9.6
Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025