Question

Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

46 comments46

Total Forecasters323

Community Prediction20% (14% - 36%)

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community: 20%

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Authors:

Anthony

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

China Unveils $300M Neutrino Detector to Unlock Universe's Secrets

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Astronomers Propose Radical New Way To Look For Signs Of Energy- Hungry Aliens

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

2041-02-13

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

2049-08-17

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

2049-06-10

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

China Unveils $300M Neutrino Detector to Unlock Universe's Secrets

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

Commonwealth Fusion Systems just picked its first commercial site partly because of its proximity to Washington, D.C.

TechCrunch•Dec 18, 2024

Astronomers Propose Radical New Way To Look For Signs Of Energy- Hungry Aliens

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

2041-02-13

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

2049-08-17

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

2049-06-10

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Will a practical nuclear fusion reactor first be developed in China?

Make a Prediction

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

Comments

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?