Question

How many confirmed deaths from COVID-19 will be reported in the US in 2022?

Resolved :261k232k

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction232k (164k - 342k)

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CDF

	<50k	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2M
community	1.4%	163.9k	232.4k	341.9k	1.1%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<50k	1.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	163.9k	—
median	232.4k	—
upper 75%	341.9k	—
Upper bound
>2M	1.1%	—

What was the final result?261k

Community Baseline Score

37.4

Community Peer Score

8.5

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Oct 20, 2021

Closes:

Feb 15, 2022

Resolves:

Feb 1, 2023

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