Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

In the 2021 Virginia gubernatorial election, what will be the percentage difference of the vote for McAuliffe over Youngkin?

Resolved :-1.930.27
7
7
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction0.27 (-1.64 - 2.52)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<-10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10
...
...
...
...
...
0.7%
-1.641
0.2704
2.519
1.2%

What was the final result?-1.93

Community Baseline Score
-2.0
Community Peer Score
17.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2021 Leaderboard
Terry McAuliffe
2021 Virginia gubernatorial election

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