Question

What will be the correlation of the change of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate from 2022 to 2031?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction3.34e-2

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

-1.07e-1

3.34e-2

1.89e-1

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Mathematics

Pearson correlation coefficient

What will be the correlation of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate from 2022 to 2031?

2e-2

Will unemployment be useful in forecasting the inflation rate in the same year given the inflation rate in the previous year?

51%

Nominal Shocks and Real Shocks

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ege_erdil

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Mathematics

Pearson correlation coefficient

Fed’s Jerome Powell hints at more rate cuts as inflation slows but warns of ‘two-sided’ risks

New York Post•Oct 1, 2024

Waiting For The September Jobs Report

Forbes•Oct 1, 2024

Rates won't fall back to pre-pandemic levels as geopolitical conflict and supply chain issues create problems for world economies, BofA exec says

Business Insider•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the correlation of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate from 2022 to 2031?

2e-2

Will unemployment be useful in forecasting the inflation rate in the same year given the inflation rate in the previous year?

51%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

What will be the correlation of the change of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate from 2022 to 2031?

Make a Prediction

What will be the correlation of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate from 2022 to 2031?

Will unemployment be useful in forecasting the inflation rate in the same year given the inflation rate in the previous year?

Nominal Shocks and Real Shocks

Comments

What will be the correlation of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate from 2022 to 2031?

Will unemployment be useful in forecasting the inflation rate in the same year given the inflation rate in the previous year?

Nominal Shocks and Real Shocks

What will be the correlation of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate from 2022 to 2031?

Will unemployment be useful in forecasting the inflation rate in the same year given the inflation rate in the previous year?

Nominal Shocks and Real Shocks

What will be the correlation of the inflation rate and the unemployment rate from 2022 to 2031?

Will unemployment be useful in forecasting the inflation rate in the same year given the inflation rate in the previous year?

Nominal Shocks and Real Shocks