Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters118

Community Prediction90%

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community: 90%

median 90.0%mean 84.7%

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

Here's what OpenAI employees are saying about the company's future

Business Insider•Oct 1, 2024

OpenAI raises $6.6B and is now valued at $157B

TechCrunch•Oct 3, 2024

OpenAI just raised $6.6 billion to build ever-larger AI models

Verge•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

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Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

Make a Prediction

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Comments

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?