Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

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M

Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

12
18
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction12% (6% - 18%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 12%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MaxR
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Artificial Intelligence
Philosophy
University of California, Berkeley
Artificial general intelligence
OpenAI

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