Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction10% (6% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Nov 5, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2039

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2099

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

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Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

90%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

12%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

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