Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

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Authors:

MaxR

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AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

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Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

90%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

12%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Which AI Companies Are the Safest—and Least Safe?

Time•Dec 13, 2024

OpenAI announces new o3 models

TechCrunch•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

90%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

12%

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Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

Make a Prediction

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Comments

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a university?