Question

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a non-profit corporation?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters71

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

median 10.0%mean 18.0%

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

89%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MaxR

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Artificial Intelligence

Philosophy

University of California, Berkeley

Artificial general intelligence

OpenAI

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TechCrunch•Nov 14, 2024

OpenAI reportedly plans to launch an AI agent early next year

Verge•Nov 14, 2024

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Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a for-profit corporation?

89%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a government project?

10%

Will the research group that is responsible for developing the first AGI be part of a nationalized organization?

12%