Question

Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment?

Resolved :No

33 comments33

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

87.7

Community Peer Score

21.4

median 1.0%mean 3.0%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Politics

First Amendment to the United States Constitution

American Civil Liberties Union

Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

42%

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

10%

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Politics

First Amendment to the United States Constitution

American Civil Liberties Union

Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

I am not buying the 'hate speech' ruse and you shouldn't either

FOX News•Oct 8, 2024

Free Speech in the Crosshairs

Townhall•Oct 9, 2024

Free Speech 101: Americans need a refresher course on our most fundamental right

New York Post•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

42%

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

10%

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

10%