Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment?

Resolved :No1%
Total Forecasters96
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
87.7
Community Peer Score
21.4
Learn more about scores here.
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