Question

Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment?

Resolved :No

33 comments33

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

87.7

Community Peer Score

21.4

median 1.0%mean 3.0%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Politics

First Amendment to the United States Constitution

American Civil Liberties Union

Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

41.6%

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Politics

First Amendment to the United States Constitution

American Civil Liberties Union

Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

ACLU warns new House bill would give Trump ‘dangerous’ tool to stifle free speech and target political enemies

Independent•Nov 13, 2024

Tomgram: Nan Levinson, The First Amendment in the Age of Trump

OpEdNews•Nov 14, 2024

ACLU warns Senate against passing

Independent•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

41.6%

Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025?