Question

Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025?

Resolved :No

37 comments37

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction4%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 4%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

21.6

Community Peer Score

5.9

median 4.0%mean 7.6%

Authors:

EvanHarper

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

Environment & Climate

Yemen Oil and Gas Corporation

Mohammed Ali al-Houthi

Oil

Yemen

Houthi movement

Yemeni Civil War (2015–present)

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12%

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

58.5%

How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates?

379M

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