Question

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

34 comments34

Total Forecasters422

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

community: 10%

median 10.0%mean 16.2%

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Comments

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?