Question

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters161

Community Prediction15% (10% - 20%)

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50%

community: 15%

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Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Sino-Indian War

China

India

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Red State•Dec 19, 2024

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OpEdNews•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks havlickova.blanka

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Nuclear Risk Horizons Project

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Sino-Indian War

China

India

'We're Going to Get Hit' - China Expert Issues Dire Warning

Red State•Dec 19, 2024

Pentagon’s annual China-power report notes nuclear, influence threats—but also corruption

Defense One•Dec 19, 2024

Tomgram: Michael Klare, Can Trump Trump China (or Vice Versa)?

OpEdNews•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

14%

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will there be a China-India war by 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Comments

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?