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Question

If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?

1
0
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction62%

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community: 62%
median 62.0%mean 49.8%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Member states of NATO
Ukraine–NATO relations
United States
NATO
Russia

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