Question
How many HEMP attacks will occur by 2030, if at least one does?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction3.87 (1.84 - 9.48)
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Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
If one or more HEMP attacks occur by 2030, will that lead to >10 million fatalities?
39.9%
if there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2050, how many total detonations will there be by then?
At least 1 fatality in a non-nuclear-armed state from a nuclear detonation by 2030, if any detonation occurs?
67%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
If one or more HEMP attacks occur by 2030, will that lead to >10 million fatalities?
39.9%
if there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2050, how many total detonations will there be by then?
At least 1 fatality in a non-nuclear-armed state from a nuclear detonation by 2030, if any detonation occurs?
67%