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M

Question

What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?

1
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction0.171 (0.0509 - 0.32)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.05093
0.1714
0.3197
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Nuclear winter
Environmental science
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion

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