Question
What fraction of nuclear weapon detonations by countries by 2050 will be on cities with >1500 people per km^2?
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction0.171 (0.0509 - 0.32)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.05093 | — |
| median | 0.1714 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.3197 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
