M

Question

Will the total yield across all countries' nuclear stockpiles at the end of 2029 exceed 10,000Mt?

1
5
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction26.2%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 26.2%
median 26.2%mean 24.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
List of states with nuclear weapons
Military science
Federation of American Scientists

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