M

Question

Will any state test a nuclear weapon with yield above 30 MT by 2030?

2
1
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction5% (1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Physics
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
Military science
Nuclear weapon

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