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Question

If there's a nuclear conflict involving >100 detonations, will that cause >1 billion fatalities within 10 years?

Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction57.9% (39.3% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 57.9%
Opened:Oct 28, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100

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