M

Question

If one or more HEMP attacks occur by 2030, will that lead to >10 million fatalities?

3
Total Forecasters24
Community Prediction39.9%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 39.9%
median 39.9%mean 39.1%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
MetaculusOutlookshavlickova.blanka
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
United States

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